Well, I was prepared to write my normal, generic weekly NFL post listing the five things we learned about the NFL in Week 3. Another boring, mundane, prefabricated column.
Until the end of tonight's game.
There's only one important thing we have learned about the NFL for Week 3. The only relevant, important, and consequential issue of the league came to light in Seattle Monday night.
The NFL's integrity is on life support.
For those of your living under a rock, here's what happened. On the final play of the Green Bay-Seattle game, Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson threw a 24 yard floater into the end zone. A jump ball ensues. Green Bay defender M.D. Jennings clearly grabs the football and hugs it on his way down. Seattle reciever Golden Tate places his hands around the ball. One ref signals touchback, and another signals touchdown. Replays CLEARLY show that Jennings had full possession of the football. Oh, and by the way, Tate committed a blatant push off on Green Bay safety Sam Shields before getting to the ball.
The "tie-goes-to-the-runner"/Simultaneous Catch rule should not apply here. When a player has 90% minimum possession of the ball, how exactly does it constitute a tie?
Even after instant replay, the officials call it a touchdown. What a disgrace.
The issue here is obvious. By allowing the referee lockout to persist to the point where a nationally televised game is decided by arguably the worst call in NFL history, Commissioner Roger Goodell has compromised the integrity of his league.
How can any coach, player, fan, or media member take the replacement refs seriously after this disgrace? Can you imagine the uproar that would occur if this happened in a playoff game, or heaven forbid, the Super Bowl?
The NFL is truly "too big to fail," so it will survive this.
But will the NFL remain the NFL, or become WWE?
To many, it has now become the latter.
Commissioner Goodell, please, please, end this madness. Save the greatest sports league in the world. Please compromise with the real refs, or another team like the Packers will be robbed like Monday night. In a more impactful game.
Or even worse, your league will no longer be relevant.
Overreaction Plan the Parade Route Week 3 Super Bowl Pick: Minnesota vs Oakland
Top 5
1. Houston
2. Atlanta
3. Arizona
4. Baltimore
5. N.Y. Giants
Bottom 5
32. Cleveland
31. New Orleans
30. St. Louis
29. Miami
28. Carolina
Monday, September 24, 2012
Tuesday, September 18, 2012
What We Learned From Week 2
"Where have you gone, Ed Hochuli, our nation turns its lonely eyes to you..."
Just as I finish writing this, another flag was thrown by a replacement ref.
"Sneezing, number 100, Red.....ummm I mean blue...ummm...20 yards...fifth down!"
As I write that, I think the Broncos-Falcons game just reached halftime.
And now, another flag was thrown because a ref was intimidaded enough by a whining wide reciever convincing him he was interfered with!
Well, you get the idea. The replacement refs suck. And this is only Week 2 of supposedly 5 that we are stuck with them. Get used to it, fans!
Next week, we will see a flag thrown for insulting a ref's mother. That will be COOL.
Anyway, here's what we learned after Week 2:
1. You can cancel those Super Bowl plans, Cowboys and Jets fans!
After their impressive Week 1 performances, you'd have thought both teams had won their respective conference title games. Especially the way their fanbases reacted. Ah, how things change so quickly. An absolutely brutal performance in Seattle by Romo and co., and a mediocre at best performance in Pittsburgh by Gang Green. And no, not even the lord and savior himself would have won it for your team, Jet fans!
2. Miracles do happen in Foxboro. AGAINST the Patriots.
In St. Louis, Billy Cundiff had to be smiling when Stephen Gostkowski shanked a 43-yarder, a chip shot for Gostkowski, with 1 second remaining. Well, at least until a couple of hours later. But I digress. Arizona handed this game to the Pats on a silver platter. Larry Fitzgerald only caught ONE pass for four yards. ONE. Ryan Williams fumbled on his own 30, giving the Pats amazing field position. And the Patriots spilled it away.
3. Houston is officially the team to beat in the AFC.
The 49ers get all the attention for becoming the instant Super Bowl favorite after back to back impressive wins against Green Bay and Detroit. But the Texans dominated two bad teams in Miami and Jacksonville. This is the hallmark of a great team. We'll see how they fare against stronger opponents. But for now, they look scary good.
4. The Tom Coughlin-Greg Schiano spat would never have happened 30-40 years ago.
We can spend all day and night arguing about who was right or wrong on this incident. But here's the truth: the reaction to Tampa Bay's aggressive play during the Giants' victory formation is a byproduct of today's NFL. The real reason Coughlin was so furious is because he is scared to see his franchise quarterback, Eli Manning, get hurt. NFL teams, or any pro sports team for that matter, invest millions in franchise players. This was not the case in the 50s and 60s. Back then, a play like this would have been considered tough, hard-nosed football. Today, it is considered bushleague and an attempt to injure an opponent. And it's all because franchises are paranoid of their high-priced stars suffering season-ending injuries. It's all about the benjamins, folks.
5. Maybe the Saints really do miss Sean Payton.
At 0-2, New Orleans is in a heap of trouble. Not only is their defense statistically the worst in the NFL, but there seems to be a lack of structure in terms of game planning and coaching. Interim coach Aaron Kromer will not be calling plays in four weeks. Drew Brees probably should be the head coach for the remainder of the season. Hey, if Peyton can do it, why can't he? Coach Sean Payton will not return this season due to his Bountygate suspension. If the Saints don't learn to adjust to life without him, kiss the playoffs goodbye. Right now, it's not looking like they can.
Weekly Overreaction Jump Out of Your Seat Premature Euphoria Super Bowl Pick:
Arizona vs Houston
Top 5
1. San Francisco
2. Houston
3. Atlanta
4. Green Bay
5. New England
Bottom 5
32. Cleveland
31. Jacksonville
30. Minnesota
29. Kansas City
28. Tennessee
Just as I finish writing this, another flag was thrown by a replacement ref.
"Sneezing, number 100, Red.....ummm I mean blue...ummm...20 yards...fifth down!"
As I write that, I think the Broncos-Falcons game just reached halftime.
And now, another flag was thrown because a ref was intimidaded enough by a whining wide reciever convincing him he was interfered with!
Well, you get the idea. The replacement refs suck. And this is only Week 2 of supposedly 5 that we are stuck with them. Get used to it, fans!
Next week, we will see a flag thrown for insulting a ref's mother. That will be COOL.
Anyway, here's what we learned after Week 2:
1. You can cancel those Super Bowl plans, Cowboys and Jets fans!
After their impressive Week 1 performances, you'd have thought both teams had won their respective conference title games. Especially the way their fanbases reacted. Ah, how things change so quickly. An absolutely brutal performance in Seattle by Romo and co., and a mediocre at best performance in Pittsburgh by Gang Green. And no, not even the lord and savior himself would have won it for your team, Jet fans!
2. Miracles do happen in Foxboro. AGAINST the Patriots.
In St. Louis, Billy Cundiff had to be smiling when Stephen Gostkowski shanked a 43-yarder, a chip shot for Gostkowski, with 1 second remaining. Well, at least until a couple of hours later. But I digress. Arizona handed this game to the Pats on a silver platter. Larry Fitzgerald only caught ONE pass for four yards. ONE. Ryan Williams fumbled on his own 30, giving the Pats amazing field position. And the Patriots spilled it away.
3. Houston is officially the team to beat in the AFC.
The 49ers get all the attention for becoming the instant Super Bowl favorite after back to back impressive wins against Green Bay and Detroit. But the Texans dominated two bad teams in Miami and Jacksonville. This is the hallmark of a great team. We'll see how they fare against stronger opponents. But for now, they look scary good.
4. The Tom Coughlin-Greg Schiano spat would never have happened 30-40 years ago.
We can spend all day and night arguing about who was right or wrong on this incident. But here's the truth: the reaction to Tampa Bay's aggressive play during the Giants' victory formation is a byproduct of today's NFL. The real reason Coughlin was so furious is because he is scared to see his franchise quarterback, Eli Manning, get hurt. NFL teams, or any pro sports team for that matter, invest millions in franchise players. This was not the case in the 50s and 60s. Back then, a play like this would have been considered tough, hard-nosed football. Today, it is considered bushleague and an attempt to injure an opponent. And it's all because franchises are paranoid of their high-priced stars suffering season-ending injuries. It's all about the benjamins, folks.
5. Maybe the Saints really do miss Sean Payton.
At 0-2, New Orleans is in a heap of trouble. Not only is their defense statistically the worst in the NFL, but there seems to be a lack of structure in terms of game planning and coaching. Interim coach Aaron Kromer will not be calling plays in four weeks. Drew Brees probably should be the head coach for the remainder of the season. Hey, if Peyton can do it, why can't he? Coach Sean Payton will not return this season due to his Bountygate suspension. If the Saints don't learn to adjust to life without him, kiss the playoffs goodbye. Right now, it's not looking like they can.
Weekly Overreaction Jump Out of Your Seat Premature Euphoria Super Bowl Pick:
Arizona vs Houston
Top 5
1. San Francisco
2. Houston
3. Atlanta
4. Green Bay
5. New England
Bottom 5
32. Cleveland
31. Jacksonville
30. Minnesota
29. Kansas City
28. Tennessee
Tuesday, September 11, 2012
What we learned from the Yankees' critical stretch and from Week 1 of the NFL Season
The Yankees just completed their most critical stretch of the season; ten games against the Orioles and Rays. They emerged one game up on the O's in the AL East race with 22 games to play. Here's what we've learned:
1. This race will be decided the final week of the season.
At this time, no one will be surprised if the Rays win the division, the Orioles win, or the Yankees win. Neither team really distinguished themselves in these last ten games, and the Yankees certainly did not impress. However, they showed resiliency when they needed to against Baltimore, and if not for getting hosed by Jerry Meals on Saturday night, may very well have a two game lead. It's going to be an exciting final three weeks. Stay tuned.
2. CC Sabathia MUST step up.
Since emerging from his second stint on the disabled list, CC Sabathia has not pitched like an ace. His team staked him out to leads in both Tampa and Baltimore, and he couldn't hold either of them, leading to Yankee losses. Now there are concerns about his health and velocity, as his fastball is down to 92-93 MPH. CC insists it isn't a big deal, but try reassuring the fans and the media. CC Sabathia needs to be the Yankee ACE, not #3 starter.
3. Phil Hughes is the key to the Yankees' success or failure.
You can take Hiroki Kuroda as a given in the Yankee rotation, and even CC despite his recent mediocrity. But whom else do you trust outside of those two? Andy Pettitte will come back soon, but will he be Andy Pettitte? Ivan Nova is back, but will he be the Nova of the first half or his awful second half? Forget Freddy Garcia, and David Phelps is not ready for the limelight. Therefore, Phil Hughes is the X factor. He leads the team with 14 wins, but has allowed the most home runs in baseball. He will need to pitch like the ace he was hyped to be down the stretch if the Yankees want to play in October. Is he capable? Absolutely. He just needs to keep the ball in the ballpark.
4. Some of the bats are starting to come around, especially A-Rod. But they need everyone to get going, not half the lineup.
You look up, Curtis Granderson strikes out. Nick Swisher just struck out again. Andruw Jones just struck out for the millionth time this season. Robbie Cano just rolled over on a ground ball. The team just stranded another runner in scoring position. But some bats showed signs of life the last few games. A-Rod has looked good since coming back from his broken hand. Russell Martin, yes, Martin has produced some big hits recently. Even Granderson looks like he is coming around. But it will take the effort of all nine guys in the lineup every day, not just two or three. Can anyone remember a season in which every single Yankee bat struggled for a long period of time? Overall, in the month of September, the Yankees' team batting average is below .150.
5. They will miss Mark Teixeira's bat, but they cannot afford another injury.
The Yankees can still make the playoffs despite the loss of their first baseman again due to a calf injury. However, with their luck with injuries this year, it's possible that another key member of the Yankees lineup falls victim to the injury bug. If that happens, forget October baseball. With enough hitters struggling as it is, losing a top power hitter puts more pressure on the remainder of the lineup. Right now, it seems as if A-Rod, Cano, Jeter, and Swisher MUST hit .400 for this team to have a chance. Given the state of the pitching, it may be absolutely necessary. We'll see.
The Yankees are in their first real pennant race since 2005. Enjoy the last three weeks.
And now, the five things we learned from Week 1 of the NFL Season:
1. The 49ers may be the new team to beat in the NFC.
The Niners went into Lambeau Field and proved that last year was no fluke. Alex Smith and the offense looked more like his counterpart, Aaron Rodgers and his offense. They exposed every flaw in the Packers secondary, the same flaws that cost them a Super Bowl last season. San Francisco has the best defense in the NFL, and if they can beat the elite teams in the league on the road like that, we may see them in New Orleans in February.
2. RGIII is for real.
In my NFL preview post last week, I all but guaranteed Andrew Luck would lead the Colts to the playoffs and be the best rookie quarterback maybe ever. Well, Luck looked like a rookie in Chicago Sunday, and the man picked after him, Robert Griffin III, marched his Redskins into the Superdome and took it to Drew Brees and the bountygate-stung Saints. He looked like the future superstar quarterback, posting 320 yards passing with two TD passes. More importantly, he was efficient and poised. It seems the Redskins have finally found their franchise QB.
3. Peyton is still Peyton.
Watching Peyton Manning shred apart the vaunted Pittsburgh Steelers defense Sunday night, you would never have known he missed last season with four neck surgeries. At 35, he is still one of the top four QBs in the league, and he emerged from this game healthy. Manning threw for 253 yards and two TDs, and did not turn the ball over. The Broncos better hope he stays that way, though.
4. Mark Sanchez is a man on a mission.
Once again, I've been had. I said last week that the Jets only scoring one TD in the preseason was a big deal. Point taken, crow eaten. Mark Sanchez may have had his best game as pro Sunday, considering the divine backup is breathing down his neck. Along with the media, fans, and even God himself. Sanchez played angry Sunday against Buffalo, and I mean angry. 266, 3 TDs, only one INT. But more importantly, the fickle fans were cheering go him and not chanting Tebow's name. It's only one game, but if Sanchez keeps this up, the Jets may be better than we all think.
5. The second most important position after quarterback in the NFL is the long snapper.
Just ask the Oakland Raiders. Have you ever heard of a game being blown by a backup long snapper? You have now. Travis Goethal is the goat of week one, botching three punts filling in for injured long snapper Jon Condo. To be fair, one snap was good, but a blocked punt resulted as punter Shane Lechler pinched in a few yards closer. The moral of the story is, have your backup long snappers practice long snaps!
The weekly overreaction Super Bowl pick: Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets. If you follow social media, fans of both teams are already planning the parade routes after one impressive win on opening week.
Top 5
1. New England
2. San Francisco
3. Baltimore
4. Houston
5. Green Bay
Bottom 5
28. Minnesota
29. Miami
30. St. Louis
31. Jacksonville
32. Cleveland
1. This race will be decided the final week of the season.
At this time, no one will be surprised if the Rays win the division, the Orioles win, or the Yankees win. Neither team really distinguished themselves in these last ten games, and the Yankees certainly did not impress. However, they showed resiliency when they needed to against Baltimore, and if not for getting hosed by Jerry Meals on Saturday night, may very well have a two game lead. It's going to be an exciting final three weeks. Stay tuned.
2. CC Sabathia MUST step up.
Since emerging from his second stint on the disabled list, CC Sabathia has not pitched like an ace. His team staked him out to leads in both Tampa and Baltimore, and he couldn't hold either of them, leading to Yankee losses. Now there are concerns about his health and velocity, as his fastball is down to 92-93 MPH. CC insists it isn't a big deal, but try reassuring the fans and the media. CC Sabathia needs to be the Yankee ACE, not #3 starter.
3. Phil Hughes is the key to the Yankees' success or failure.
You can take Hiroki Kuroda as a given in the Yankee rotation, and even CC despite his recent mediocrity. But whom else do you trust outside of those two? Andy Pettitte will come back soon, but will he be Andy Pettitte? Ivan Nova is back, but will he be the Nova of the first half or his awful second half? Forget Freddy Garcia, and David Phelps is not ready for the limelight. Therefore, Phil Hughes is the X factor. He leads the team with 14 wins, but has allowed the most home runs in baseball. He will need to pitch like the ace he was hyped to be down the stretch if the Yankees want to play in October. Is he capable? Absolutely. He just needs to keep the ball in the ballpark.
4. Some of the bats are starting to come around, especially A-Rod. But they need everyone to get going, not half the lineup.
You look up, Curtis Granderson strikes out. Nick Swisher just struck out again. Andruw Jones just struck out for the millionth time this season. Robbie Cano just rolled over on a ground ball. The team just stranded another runner in scoring position. But some bats showed signs of life the last few games. A-Rod has looked good since coming back from his broken hand. Russell Martin, yes, Martin has produced some big hits recently. Even Granderson looks like he is coming around. But it will take the effort of all nine guys in the lineup every day, not just two or three. Can anyone remember a season in which every single Yankee bat struggled for a long period of time? Overall, in the month of September, the Yankees' team batting average is below .150.
5. They will miss Mark Teixeira's bat, but they cannot afford another injury.
The Yankees can still make the playoffs despite the loss of their first baseman again due to a calf injury. However, with their luck with injuries this year, it's possible that another key member of the Yankees lineup falls victim to the injury bug. If that happens, forget October baseball. With enough hitters struggling as it is, losing a top power hitter puts more pressure on the remainder of the lineup. Right now, it seems as if A-Rod, Cano, Jeter, and Swisher MUST hit .400 for this team to have a chance. Given the state of the pitching, it may be absolutely necessary. We'll see.
The Yankees are in their first real pennant race since 2005. Enjoy the last three weeks.
And now, the five things we learned from Week 1 of the NFL Season:
1. The 49ers may be the new team to beat in the NFC.
The Niners went into Lambeau Field and proved that last year was no fluke. Alex Smith and the offense looked more like his counterpart, Aaron Rodgers and his offense. They exposed every flaw in the Packers secondary, the same flaws that cost them a Super Bowl last season. San Francisco has the best defense in the NFL, and if they can beat the elite teams in the league on the road like that, we may see them in New Orleans in February.
2. RGIII is for real.
In my NFL preview post last week, I all but guaranteed Andrew Luck would lead the Colts to the playoffs and be the best rookie quarterback maybe ever. Well, Luck looked like a rookie in Chicago Sunday, and the man picked after him, Robert Griffin III, marched his Redskins into the Superdome and took it to Drew Brees and the bountygate-stung Saints. He looked like the future superstar quarterback, posting 320 yards passing with two TD passes. More importantly, he was efficient and poised. It seems the Redskins have finally found their franchise QB.
3. Peyton is still Peyton.
Watching Peyton Manning shred apart the vaunted Pittsburgh Steelers defense Sunday night, you would never have known he missed last season with four neck surgeries. At 35, he is still one of the top four QBs in the league, and he emerged from this game healthy. Manning threw for 253 yards and two TDs, and did not turn the ball over. The Broncos better hope he stays that way, though.
4. Mark Sanchez is a man on a mission.
Once again, I've been had. I said last week that the Jets only scoring one TD in the preseason was a big deal. Point taken, crow eaten. Mark Sanchez may have had his best game as pro Sunday, considering the divine backup is breathing down his neck. Along with the media, fans, and even God himself. Sanchez played angry Sunday against Buffalo, and I mean angry. 266, 3 TDs, only one INT. But more importantly, the fickle fans were cheering go him and not chanting Tebow's name. It's only one game, but if Sanchez keeps this up, the Jets may be better than we all think.
5. The second most important position after quarterback in the NFL is the long snapper.
Just ask the Oakland Raiders. Have you ever heard of a game being blown by a backup long snapper? You have now. Travis Goethal is the goat of week one, botching three punts filling in for injured long snapper Jon Condo. To be fair, one snap was good, but a blocked punt resulted as punter Shane Lechler pinched in a few yards closer. The moral of the story is, have your backup long snappers practice long snaps!
The weekly overreaction Super Bowl pick: Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets. If you follow social media, fans of both teams are already planning the parade routes after one impressive win on opening week.
Top 5
1. New England
2. San Francisco
3. Baltimore
4. Houston
5. Green Bay
Bottom 5
28. Minnesota
29. Miami
30. St. Louis
31. Jacksonville
32. Cleveland
Tuesday, September 4, 2012
2012 NFL Preview
We interrupt ESPN's coverage of their new deity, the most famous backup in the history of sports, mr. Timothy Tebow, to remind you that there will be football games played this fall!
Even their previous deity, Michael Jordan, will be watching FOOTBALL, and not TEBOW. But I digress.
The following are my previews and predictions for the 2012 NFL Season!
AFC East
1. New England Patriots
Expect anything different with Brady and Belichick running the show? Some football "experts" predict another undefeated season. I won't go that far, but with a new weapon for Brady in Brandon Lloyd, and another year of Gronk, Hernandez, and Welker patrolling the passing lanes, it is possible the Pats can be better than last year. Plus, after another heartbreaking Super Bowl loss to the Giants, you know Brady and Belichick are licking their chops. If their defense is improved, this team will be scary, if that's even possible.
2. Buffalo Bills
Buffalo made the splash of the offseason by signing the best free agent available, pass rush extraordinare Mario Williams. But will it translate to their first playoff berth since 1999? He certainly makes them better, but Ryan Fitzpatrick will have to recapture his first half magic from last season and translate it to a full season. I say an 8-8 season, but they fall just short.
3. New York Jets
Ok, Tebow worshippers, here's your dose of truth. There is too much drama with his presence in this organization for not only Mark Sanchez to succeed, but for the rest of the team as well. GM Mike Tannenbaum did NOTHING to address the team's shortcomings. Trading Wayne Hunter to improve the O-Line was too little, too late. They also lack a playmaking reciever and a legit #1 running back. Even Tebowmania can't save them, regardless of whether he starts Week 2 or Week 10. Buckle up for a long season, Jet fans. Oh, and one touchdown in the entire preseason IS a cause for concern.
4. Miami Dolphins
The post-Sparano era begins with yet another potential Dan Marino "replacement", Ryan Tannehill, under center. It is also the first year under new head coach Joe Philbin. But what else do they have to succeed? Don't tell me David Garrard or Matt Moore can save them if Tannehill fails. Long rebuilding year in South Beach.
AFC North
1. Pittsburgh Steelers
Many question marks smother over the black and gold this season. How will they respond to the loss of major veteran leaders such as Hines Ward and James Farrior? Can Rashard Mendenhall and Issac Redman stay healthy? Can their defense be great again? How will new offensive coordinator Todd Haley affect their offense? And of course, the biggest one, can Big Ben Roethlisberger stay healthy? If he isn't, the Steelers have no chance. If he is on his game, however, and his rotator cuff doesn't affect his throwing ability, expect another 10-12 win season.
2. Baltimore Ravens *(wildcard)
Sorry, Raven fans, but I have to give the Steelers a slight edge here because Terrell Suggs may miss half the season. Plus Ray Lewis and Ed Reed are becoming ancient, and their title window may have shut completely with last year's heartbreaking AFC title game loss. If the Ravens are to take the next step, however, Joe Flacco must join the elite ranks of quarterbacks. If he doesn't, do not expect another Super Bowl win in the Lewis/Reed era.
3. Cincinnati Bengals
Will Andy Dalton suffer a sophomore slump after last year's unexpected sensational rookie campaign? Will the loss of Cedric Benson in the running game hurt? The two elite teams in this division are too good for Cincinnati to take the next step forward. I expect a 7-9 or 8-8 year.
4. Cleveland Browns
No one mistook Colt McCoy as the second coming of Otto Graham or Bernie Kosar. But did they give up on him too soon? Is Brandon Weeden, at 28, really the answer? Regardless, Cleveland probably boasts the worst offense in football. Only if Trent Richardson is the real deal can this team take a step forward.
AFC South
1. Houston Texans
I will say this once. Matt Schaub, Arian Foster, and Andre Johnson MUST stay healthy. If they do, they may be the best team in the AFC not named the Patriots. Losing Mario Williams will hurt, but the defense is still talented enough to carry the load. Their time is here, and health permitting, they are ready for great things.
2. Indianapolis Colts *(wildcard)
My sleeper pick of 2012. It's easy to forget the talent this team has besides Peyton Manning. Reggie Wayne, Robert Mathis, and Dwight Freeney remain in the fold. Andrew Luck looked NFL ready in preseason. And of course, he will take his lumps along the way, but how often do we see rookie quarterbacks take their teams to the playoffs? It's Luck's turn.
3. Tennessee Titans
The Jake Locker era begins in Nashville. If Kenny Britt and Chris Johnson are healthy, they will make the transition from Matt Hasselbeck to Locker a smoother one. This is a team that surprised folks last year, but won't sneak up on anyone this time.
4. Jacksonville Jaguars
May be the worst team in the NFL. So what if Mo-Jo Drew ended his holdout? Blaine Gabbert still leads this team under center. And he showed no signs of being a legit NFL QB last year. Maybe they should play ALL their home games in London. Would the city of Jacksonville notice?
AFC West
1. Denver Broncos
Peyton Manning at 70% is still better than half the starting quarterbacks in the NFL. As long as he is healthy, pencil in any team he leads for 10 or more wins. Plus, he has one of the best defenses in the NFL behind him. Sorry, ESPN, but Tebowmania will be long forgotten in the Mile High City very soon.
2. San Diego Chargers
I'm going to say it. Their championship window closed. Is it too late for Philip Rivers, the best quarterback to not win a Super Bowl, to win a Super Bowl? How much longer can Charger fans tolerate Norv Turner? Without a healthy Ryan Mathews, it may not matter. Another disappointing season is on the horizon.
3. Oakland Raiders
They will have a full season under Carson Palmer, and a new organizational philosophy and structure is in place in the post Al Davis era. I expect another 8-8 season, but to fall just short of the playoffs again.
4. Kansas City Chiefs
I, for one, believe Matt Cassel is overrated. But this year, he will have several weapons at his disposal. Dwayne Bowe ended his holdout, Peyton Hillis will compliment Jammal Charles, but of course, they have to stay healthy. If Cassel can use these weapons properly, they will be successful.
NFC East
1. New York Giants
Other than Brandon Jacobs and Mario Manningham, the champs' roster pretty much remains intact. The biggest question for this team is, can they stay consistent all year long, or will it take another miracle run to win a Super Bowl? Jason Pierre Paul and Victor Cruz won't take anyone by surprise this year, but they will be better. Rookie running back David Wilson looked electric in preseason. Can him and Ahmad Bradshaw form a lethal 1-2 punch? Expect them to be better than last year.
2. Philadelphia Eagles (*wildcard)
This team was the biggest disappointment in the NFL by far last season. The key, of course, is keeping Michael Vick healthy. And his O-line did a horrible job of protecting him this preseason. I expect a big bounce back year from Nnamdi Asomugha, and I predict LeSean McCoy will be the NFL's leading rusher. If Vick his healthy, expect a return to the playoffs.
3. Dallas Cowboys
Yes, the defense is much improved. But what else about this team suggests they are elite? Tony Romo will put up his big numbers but once again disappear in big spots. Can DeMarco Murray regain the magic he had for a few games as a rookie? Can Dez Bryant behave? All in all, another typical Cowboys season in Jerryland is on the horizon.
4. Washington Redskins
Well, they finally have a legit franchise quarterback for the first time since, well Mark Rypien I guess. What, did you think I'd say Gus Frerotte? But, like Andrew Luck in Indy, the success of the Skins rests on the right arm of Robert Griffin III. If he succeeds, so do the Skins. If he doesn't, it will be the same ol' Skins.
NFC North
1. Green Bay Packers
It's debatable whether or not Aaron Rodgers is now the best quarterback in the NFL. But one thing that is not debatable is that the Pack are once again the NFL's best team. If they show up in the playoffs last year, is there any doubt they repeat as champs? They will win 13-15 games, but they just need to bring their A game in crunch time. That's all.
2. Detroit Lions (*wildcard)
If the defense improves, and Ndamukong Suh can stay away from Roger Goodell's wrath, this team will improve by 1-2 wins. Again, the key is keeping Matthew Stafford healthy. And Megatron will only get better over the next few years. And that's scary.
3. Chicago Bears
Is Jay Cutler happy now that he is reunited with his favorite Denver target, Brandon Marshall? If Matt Forte stays healthy and Brian Urlacher continues to compete at an elite level, they will be a playoff contender. Again, the key is keeping Cutler happy.
4. Minnesota Vikings
If Adrian Peterson does not come back healthy, this will be a really long season in Minny. Christian Ponder showed some promise last year. Can he improve? Either way, it's another rebuilding year.
NFC South
1. New Orleans Saints
I, for one, do not believe all the suspensions and bountygate drama will deter NOLA from making another Super Bowl run. Why? Drew Brees still quarterbacks them. And they have a lethal backfield with Darren Sproles, Mark Ingram, and Pierre Thomas. If the defense plays at a high level, we may see a home game in February for this team.
2. Carolina Panthers
They will be the most improved team in the NFC this year. They have a solid running game, and the presence of Cam Newton rejuvenated Steve Smith. If Newton puts up big numbers again, they will contend for a playoff spot.
3. Atlanta Falcons
The window is closing on the Matty Ice era. After another playoff disappointment, the pressure is on. The problem is, in a division with the Saints and the resurgent Panthers, it will be difficult to even get there. This is a make-or-break year for this franchise.
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
There is a new sheriff in town, and he means business. Will Greg Schiano's disciplinary style translate to the NFL, especially with the least accountable team in the league? Can Josh Freeman lead this team to the next level?
NFC West
1. San Francisco 49ers
This team came one play away from making the Super Bowl last year. They have the best defense in the NFL, and Alex Smith has new weapons in Randy Moss and Mario Manningham at his disposal. Can he take them to the promised land? Jim Harbaugh definetely believes so, and the organization does, too.
2. Arizona Cardinals
John Skelton gets the starting quarterback job over Kevin Kolb. Does it really matter. Either will waste Larry Fitzgerald's talent. However, in this uber-mediocre division, anything can happen.
3. Seattle Seahawks
Russell Wilson over Matt Flynn? Interesting. What was Flynn signed for, then? Well, at least T.O. won't be around to distract them.
4. St. Louis Rams
Sam Bradford can't stay healthy. Steven Jackson's window as an elite runner is closing. Yes, Jeff Fisher is a much better coach than Steve Spagnolo, but this team is still a couple years away.
Playoff Predictions
First Round
Denver 27, Indianapolis 14
Pittsburgh 17, Baltimore 14
New Orleans 33, Philadelphia 24
Detroit 27, San Francisco 24
Divisional Round
Green Bay 30, Detroit 27
New Orleans 27, NY Giants 23
New England 28, Pittsburgh 13
Houston 27, Denver 17
Conference Championships
Houston 24, New England 20
Green Bay 35, New Orleans 28
Super Bowl XLVII
Green Bay 31, Houston 20
Even their previous deity, Michael Jordan, will be watching FOOTBALL, and not TEBOW. But I digress.
The following are my previews and predictions for the 2012 NFL Season!
AFC East
1. New England Patriots
Expect anything different with Brady and Belichick running the show? Some football "experts" predict another undefeated season. I won't go that far, but with a new weapon for Brady in Brandon Lloyd, and another year of Gronk, Hernandez, and Welker patrolling the passing lanes, it is possible the Pats can be better than last year. Plus, after another heartbreaking Super Bowl loss to the Giants, you know Brady and Belichick are licking their chops. If their defense is improved, this team will be scary, if that's even possible.
2. Buffalo Bills
Buffalo made the splash of the offseason by signing the best free agent available, pass rush extraordinare Mario Williams. But will it translate to their first playoff berth since 1999? He certainly makes them better, but Ryan Fitzpatrick will have to recapture his first half magic from last season and translate it to a full season. I say an 8-8 season, but they fall just short.
3. New York Jets
Ok, Tebow worshippers, here's your dose of truth. There is too much drama with his presence in this organization for not only Mark Sanchez to succeed, but for the rest of the team as well. GM Mike Tannenbaum did NOTHING to address the team's shortcomings. Trading Wayne Hunter to improve the O-Line was too little, too late. They also lack a playmaking reciever and a legit #1 running back. Even Tebowmania can't save them, regardless of whether he starts Week 2 or Week 10. Buckle up for a long season, Jet fans. Oh, and one touchdown in the entire preseason IS a cause for concern.
4. Miami Dolphins
The post-Sparano era begins with yet another potential Dan Marino "replacement", Ryan Tannehill, under center. It is also the first year under new head coach Joe Philbin. But what else do they have to succeed? Don't tell me David Garrard or Matt Moore can save them if Tannehill fails. Long rebuilding year in South Beach.
AFC North
1. Pittsburgh Steelers
Many question marks smother over the black and gold this season. How will they respond to the loss of major veteran leaders such as Hines Ward and James Farrior? Can Rashard Mendenhall and Issac Redman stay healthy? Can their defense be great again? How will new offensive coordinator Todd Haley affect their offense? And of course, the biggest one, can Big Ben Roethlisberger stay healthy? If he isn't, the Steelers have no chance. If he is on his game, however, and his rotator cuff doesn't affect his throwing ability, expect another 10-12 win season.
2. Baltimore Ravens *(wildcard)
Sorry, Raven fans, but I have to give the Steelers a slight edge here because Terrell Suggs may miss half the season. Plus Ray Lewis and Ed Reed are becoming ancient, and their title window may have shut completely with last year's heartbreaking AFC title game loss. If the Ravens are to take the next step, however, Joe Flacco must join the elite ranks of quarterbacks. If he doesn't, do not expect another Super Bowl win in the Lewis/Reed era.
3. Cincinnati Bengals
Will Andy Dalton suffer a sophomore slump after last year's unexpected sensational rookie campaign? Will the loss of Cedric Benson in the running game hurt? The two elite teams in this division are too good for Cincinnati to take the next step forward. I expect a 7-9 or 8-8 year.
4. Cleveland Browns
No one mistook Colt McCoy as the second coming of Otto Graham or Bernie Kosar. But did they give up on him too soon? Is Brandon Weeden, at 28, really the answer? Regardless, Cleveland probably boasts the worst offense in football. Only if Trent Richardson is the real deal can this team take a step forward.
AFC South
1. Houston Texans
I will say this once. Matt Schaub, Arian Foster, and Andre Johnson MUST stay healthy. If they do, they may be the best team in the AFC not named the Patriots. Losing Mario Williams will hurt, but the defense is still talented enough to carry the load. Their time is here, and health permitting, they are ready for great things.
2. Indianapolis Colts *(wildcard)
My sleeper pick of 2012. It's easy to forget the talent this team has besides Peyton Manning. Reggie Wayne, Robert Mathis, and Dwight Freeney remain in the fold. Andrew Luck looked NFL ready in preseason. And of course, he will take his lumps along the way, but how often do we see rookie quarterbacks take their teams to the playoffs? It's Luck's turn.
3. Tennessee Titans
The Jake Locker era begins in Nashville. If Kenny Britt and Chris Johnson are healthy, they will make the transition from Matt Hasselbeck to Locker a smoother one. This is a team that surprised folks last year, but won't sneak up on anyone this time.
4. Jacksonville Jaguars
May be the worst team in the NFL. So what if Mo-Jo Drew ended his holdout? Blaine Gabbert still leads this team under center. And he showed no signs of being a legit NFL QB last year. Maybe they should play ALL their home games in London. Would the city of Jacksonville notice?
AFC West
1. Denver Broncos
Peyton Manning at 70% is still better than half the starting quarterbacks in the NFL. As long as he is healthy, pencil in any team he leads for 10 or more wins. Plus, he has one of the best defenses in the NFL behind him. Sorry, ESPN, but Tebowmania will be long forgotten in the Mile High City very soon.
2. San Diego Chargers
I'm going to say it. Their championship window closed. Is it too late for Philip Rivers, the best quarterback to not win a Super Bowl, to win a Super Bowl? How much longer can Charger fans tolerate Norv Turner? Without a healthy Ryan Mathews, it may not matter. Another disappointing season is on the horizon.
3. Oakland Raiders
They will have a full season under Carson Palmer, and a new organizational philosophy and structure is in place in the post Al Davis era. I expect another 8-8 season, but to fall just short of the playoffs again.
4. Kansas City Chiefs
I, for one, believe Matt Cassel is overrated. But this year, he will have several weapons at his disposal. Dwayne Bowe ended his holdout, Peyton Hillis will compliment Jammal Charles, but of course, they have to stay healthy. If Cassel can use these weapons properly, they will be successful.
NFC East
1. New York Giants
Other than Brandon Jacobs and Mario Manningham, the champs' roster pretty much remains intact. The biggest question for this team is, can they stay consistent all year long, or will it take another miracle run to win a Super Bowl? Jason Pierre Paul and Victor Cruz won't take anyone by surprise this year, but they will be better. Rookie running back David Wilson looked electric in preseason. Can him and Ahmad Bradshaw form a lethal 1-2 punch? Expect them to be better than last year.
2. Philadelphia Eagles (*wildcard)
This team was the biggest disappointment in the NFL by far last season. The key, of course, is keeping Michael Vick healthy. And his O-line did a horrible job of protecting him this preseason. I expect a big bounce back year from Nnamdi Asomugha, and I predict LeSean McCoy will be the NFL's leading rusher. If Vick his healthy, expect a return to the playoffs.
3. Dallas Cowboys
Yes, the defense is much improved. But what else about this team suggests they are elite? Tony Romo will put up his big numbers but once again disappear in big spots. Can DeMarco Murray regain the magic he had for a few games as a rookie? Can Dez Bryant behave? All in all, another typical Cowboys season in Jerryland is on the horizon.
4. Washington Redskins
Well, they finally have a legit franchise quarterback for the first time since, well Mark Rypien I guess. What, did you think I'd say Gus Frerotte? But, like Andrew Luck in Indy, the success of the Skins rests on the right arm of Robert Griffin III. If he succeeds, so do the Skins. If he doesn't, it will be the same ol' Skins.
NFC North
1. Green Bay Packers
It's debatable whether or not Aaron Rodgers is now the best quarterback in the NFL. But one thing that is not debatable is that the Pack are once again the NFL's best team. If they show up in the playoffs last year, is there any doubt they repeat as champs? They will win 13-15 games, but they just need to bring their A game in crunch time. That's all.
2. Detroit Lions (*wildcard)
If the defense improves, and Ndamukong Suh can stay away from Roger Goodell's wrath, this team will improve by 1-2 wins. Again, the key is keeping Matthew Stafford healthy. And Megatron will only get better over the next few years. And that's scary.
3. Chicago Bears
Is Jay Cutler happy now that he is reunited with his favorite Denver target, Brandon Marshall? If Matt Forte stays healthy and Brian Urlacher continues to compete at an elite level, they will be a playoff contender. Again, the key is keeping Cutler happy.
4. Minnesota Vikings
If Adrian Peterson does not come back healthy, this will be a really long season in Minny. Christian Ponder showed some promise last year. Can he improve? Either way, it's another rebuilding year.
NFC South
1. New Orleans Saints
I, for one, do not believe all the suspensions and bountygate drama will deter NOLA from making another Super Bowl run. Why? Drew Brees still quarterbacks them. And they have a lethal backfield with Darren Sproles, Mark Ingram, and Pierre Thomas. If the defense plays at a high level, we may see a home game in February for this team.
2. Carolina Panthers
They will be the most improved team in the NFC this year. They have a solid running game, and the presence of Cam Newton rejuvenated Steve Smith. If Newton puts up big numbers again, they will contend for a playoff spot.
3. Atlanta Falcons
The window is closing on the Matty Ice era. After another playoff disappointment, the pressure is on. The problem is, in a division with the Saints and the resurgent Panthers, it will be difficult to even get there. This is a make-or-break year for this franchise.
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
There is a new sheriff in town, and he means business. Will Greg Schiano's disciplinary style translate to the NFL, especially with the least accountable team in the league? Can Josh Freeman lead this team to the next level?
NFC West
1. San Francisco 49ers
This team came one play away from making the Super Bowl last year. They have the best defense in the NFL, and Alex Smith has new weapons in Randy Moss and Mario Manningham at his disposal. Can he take them to the promised land? Jim Harbaugh definetely believes so, and the organization does, too.
2. Arizona Cardinals
John Skelton gets the starting quarterback job over Kevin Kolb. Does it really matter. Either will waste Larry Fitzgerald's talent. However, in this uber-mediocre division, anything can happen.
3. Seattle Seahawks
Russell Wilson over Matt Flynn? Interesting. What was Flynn signed for, then? Well, at least T.O. won't be around to distract them.
4. St. Louis Rams
Sam Bradford can't stay healthy. Steven Jackson's window as an elite runner is closing. Yes, Jeff Fisher is a much better coach than Steve Spagnolo, but this team is still a couple years away.
Playoff Predictions
First Round
Denver 27, Indianapolis 14
Pittsburgh 17, Baltimore 14
New Orleans 33, Philadelphia 24
Detroit 27, San Francisco 24
Divisional Round
Green Bay 30, Detroit 27
New Orleans 27, NY Giants 23
New England 28, Pittsburgh 13
Houston 27, Denver 17
Conference Championships
Houston 24, New England 20
Green Bay 35, New Orleans 28
Super Bowl XLVII
Green Bay 31, Houston 20
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