Monday, October 15, 2012

Calling Out Yankee Fans

I am not going to dedicate this post to ripping apart the underperforming Yankee stars of this postseason.

I am not going to praise the starting pitching.

I am especially not going to dedicate this post to ripping apart the umpires and plea for instant replay.

Instead, I am using this post to call out YOU, the Yankee fan.

Yes, you. The one that doesn't show up to Yankee Stadium for a playoff game.

In professional sports, there is nothing more embarrasing than a team not selling out a playoff game. It's very rare, but when it happens, it not only generates bad publicity, but it also reduces an organization's credibility.

The New Yankee Stadium holds approximately 50,000. Here is a list of the attendance figures for each postseason game thus far:

ALDS Game 3: 50,497
ALDS Game 4: 49,307
ALDS Game 5: 47,081
ALCS Game 1: 47,122
ALCS Game 2: 47,082

After the first two games sold out, attendance has steadily declined. Attendance for the deciding Game 5, a game which could have been the final game of the Yankees' season, was the lowest attended of the five!

In Game 5, the Stadium was half empty until the fourth or fifth inning. Entire sections were empty for games one and two of the ALCS.

The crowd noise in every single game, save for a few Game 5 moments and Raul Ibanez's home run heroics, was funereal. You would have thought each game was a throwaway game in May.

Why is this happening? Is it a byproduct of today's economic times, just being plain spoiled, or something else?

Well, to be fair to a vast majority of fans, ticket and parking prices are simply too exborbitant for the average fan to afford. Parking near the stadium is going for as much as $50 for postseason. Yes, fifty. You read that correctly. Also, with the economy being the way it is, it probably isn't prudent for a family of four to pay $300-400 for tickets, food, drink, and parking for a baseball game. Especially if you want to sit near home plate.

However, cheap seats sold on Stubhub for each postseason game for as low as $30, which is only $10 more than face value for a bleacher ticket for any given regular season game. No one is forcing you to pay for parking (assuming you take public transportation), food, or drink. A diehard fan like myself would be glad to gobble up that ticket if I lived close to the Stadium.

Or is the Yankee fan too fickle or spoiled to even care?

The high-octane Yankee offense has been anemic so far this postseason, and especially with runners in scoring position the entire year. If not for Raul Ibanez's heroics in Game 3 and the starting pitching, the Yankees team is playing golf instead of baseball right now. Fans that actually attended the games are displaying endless vitriol and hatred toward A-Rod and his ineptitude. And eventually, Nick Swisher, Curtis Granderson, and Robinson Cano.

Maybe the Yankee fan is bored by the constant postseason appearances, and is just waiting for a World Series game to get loud and proud. In Game 2 of the 1995 ALDS, the old Yankee Stadium shook to its core when Don Mattingly hit a home run. In Game 2 of the 2012 ALCS, Hiroki Kuroda recieved light applause for pitching 5 perfect innings. Performances like those are probably taken for granted.

Whatever the cause may be, it is an embarrassment to the Yankees franchise and Yankee fanbase to have a library-like atmosphere at its ballpark for such important games. In other words, fodder is being fed to the haters at a record rate.

Should the Yankees bring the ALCS back to Yankee Stadium for Game 6, a non-sellout would be one of the great embarrassments of all time.

Does this mean only 45,000 will show up for a Game 7?

Well, maybe if they hate A-Rod enough, 5,000 more will show up just to boo him when he strikes out in a huge spot.

Tuesday, October 9, 2012

What We Learned From NFL Week 5

Before I dive into football, I must remind you that the annual A-Rod boo fest will commence tomorrow evening at 7:30 PM in the Bronx, New York.

After his disturbingly cold start to the postseason (yet again, save 2009), imagine the venom that will be directed toward him the second he strikes out or pops out with men on base.

No one wants to hear it, but I'm going to say it. It is NOT his fault this series is tied at one. How about some boos for Nick Swisher, who still can't buy a hit in the postseason, or strikeout machine Curtis Granderson? Oh, okay. Hate away, ignoramuses! The second A-Rod comes up with a huge hit in Games 3, 4, or 5, you will all love him.

More on the Yankees after the series ends. For now, on to some damn football.

This week's five things:

1. Tim Tebow should NOT be the Jets' starting quarterback, but he WILL be soon.
Since opening week, the Jets' offense has resembled the one that could only muster one touchdown in the preseason. Quarterback Mark Sanchez has struggled mightily, only completing close to half his passes. He has made many mistakes, and has lost his most important weapon, Santonio Holmes, for the season. All struggles aside, fan interest is dwindling. Owner Woody Johnson has an ace in the hole. If Tebow starts, and leads the Jets to miracle victory after miracle victory like he did with Denver last season, fannies will be placed in the seats, and the Jets will make headlines. After all, that's what he wants, right? It's inevitable, folks. Even if he goes 7 for 21 for 89 yards every game.

2. Eric Winston is absolutely correct about the Chiefs fans being wrong for cheering Matt Cassel's injury. That said, Cassel must be benched right now.
Kansas City has invested a lot in Cassel since his unexpected success in Tom Brady's absence in New England in the 2008 season. Since then, he has brought the Chiefs to the playoffs once, but regressed ever since. The anger from long-suffering Chiefs fans has reached a fever pitch, and a change at QB must be made before it gets worse. The Chiefs are 1-4, and Brady Quinn may start in favor of a concussed Cassel this Sunday. Cassel has thrown 5 TD passes and thrown 9 interceptions. He is allowing a lethal running game from Jamaal Charles go to waste. It's simply not working for Cassel in KC, and if the Chiefs want to salvage their future, they need to at least take a look at Quinn.

3. If Michael Vick is benched, it will signal the beginning of the end for Andy Reid in Philadelphia.
Vick's case of fumbilitis has now reached epidemic proportions. He fumbled at the goal line in a key spot in Pittsburgh this past Sunday, and lost another one. He has lost three total this season, and thrown six interceptions. Other than the poor protection from his offensive line, Vick has made many questionable decisions this season. His team can easily be 0-5 right now if  not for a couple of one and two point victories. Coach Andy Reid, already on the hot seat, has put a ton of faith in Vick. If he is forced to bench him. he may run out of all credibility to his players and the front office.

4. Andrew Luck grew up as an NFL quarterback Sunday. And this one was with feeling.
With ailing coach Chuck Pagano watching from an Indianapolis hospital bed recovering from chemotherapy treatments, he witnessed his young star QB become Peyton Manning. Or something close to it. Against a tough Green Bay team at home, Luck threw for 362 yards and two TD passes, and led his team on an epic last minute drive (with a little help from Reggie Wayne) to go ahead 30-27. The Colts knew what they were doing drafting Luck and letting Manning walk, and their faith has been rewarded thus far. And how good did it feel for owner Jim Irsay to present the game ball to Pagano at the hospital?

5. Cam Newton is officially in a sophomore slump.
Was last year's epic rookie season a fluke? Or is it a sign of immaturity or overconfidence? I say a little bit of both. Of course, there is no way Newton can top his performance from last season, but he has looked mediocre at best this season, and has made egregious mistakes. After a good opening week performance in a loss to Tampa Bay, he has not completed more than 16 passes in a game since. He was benched in the middle of the Panthers' blowout loss to the Giants, and he was infamously seen sulking on the sideline. He has not thrown for more than 253 yards, and has thrown only four touchdown passes. If he doesn't grow up soon, the Panthers are in huge trouble.

Gobble up your tickets, this is our year-but not really Super Bowl Pick: Indianapolis vs New Orleans. Yes, New Orleans. If Sean Payton shows up at the stadium every game, maybe the Saints will be inspired to run the table and host a home Super Bowl?

Top 5
1. Houston
2. Atlanta
3. San Francisco
4. Baltimore
5. New England

Bottom 5
32. Cleveland
31. Jacksonville
30. Tennessee
29. Kansas City
28. Oakland

Wednesday, October 3, 2012

What we learned from NFL Week 4

Okay, are we all back to hating the real refs yet? I thought so. Yeah, you can put your hands down now, Packer fans.

I have to admit now, the replacement refs, save for the Seattle disgrace, made for good entertainment. Especially based on the reactions from ESPN and social media to every single blown call.

So, can we still question the NFL's legitimacy if the regular refs are blowing calls?

You know what? The fans will always be angry at the refs, whether they have day jobs at McDonald's or Goldman Sachs.

Anyway, here's the Week 4 "5 Things":

1. The Saints are done. D.O.N.E.
 I don't care if they go 8-2 for the remainder of the season. You simply do not recover from an 0-4 start in the NFL. It never equals a Super Bowl win, even in an era of parity. No coaching structure, no continuity, no wins.

2. The Vikings are better than we all thought.
Give Christian Ponder credit for showing some growth in his second season in the NFL. No one thought he would step up his game to the level he has, but he has the men in purple believing. A 20-13 victory in a tough environment such as Detroit is a big step forward. Oh, and having Adrian Peterson back healthy helps, too.

3. The Cowboys should hold off on giving Tony Romo his huge contract for much longer than a few days.
Say what you want about Romo's 5 interception performance and how his recievers haven't helped him out. The truth is, Romo has never proved he can win a big game, much less perform at an elite level in a primetime game. Last night's debacle reenforced this. I guess having good looks and playing for "America's Team" gets you glam no matter how good or bad you are. But Jerry Jones needs to think long and hard about this one. Is Romo really the long-term answer? He hasn't been for the past five years.

4. The Falcons are showing signs of maturing as a team.
Games like Sunday's against Carolina truly test the will of a good team. The Panthers just kept clawing away and clawing away after their no-show last Thursday against the Giants. But the Falcons didn't panic after getting down 28-24. They get two late Matt Bryant field goals to cap two gritty, clutch Matt Ryan drives give this team massive confidence going forward. We'll see if this translates to bigger and better things. Like a postseason victory.

5. Other than maybe Atlanta, no team comes close to being complete more than the Houston Texans.
Four dominating wins. They have to be licking their chops for next Monday night against a beyond depleted and shaken Jets team. The AFC South (and #1 seed) is theirs to lose. Schaub, Foster, and Johnson have looked great. Mario Williams is NOT missed on that defense. This is looking like a special season.

Overreaction Plan the Parade Route Super Bowl pick: Minnesota vs Cincinnati

Top 5
1. Houston
2. Atlanta
3. Arizona
4. Baltimore
5. New England

Bottom 5
32. Cleveland
31. New Orleans
30. Jacksonville
29. Miami
28. N.Y. Jets

Monday, September 24, 2012

What We Learned from NFL Week 3

Well, I was prepared to write my normal, generic weekly NFL post listing the five things we learned about the NFL in Week 3. Another boring, mundane, prefabricated column.

Until the end of tonight's game.

There's only one important thing we have learned about the NFL for Week 3. The only relevant, important, and consequential issue of the league came to light in Seattle Monday night.

The NFL's integrity is on life support.

For those of your living under a rock, here's what happened. On the final play of the Green Bay-Seattle game, Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson threw a 24 yard floater into the end zone. A jump ball ensues. Green Bay defender M.D. Jennings clearly grabs the football and hugs it on his way down. Seattle reciever Golden Tate places his hands around the ball. One ref signals touchback, and another signals touchdown. Replays CLEARLY show that Jennings had full possession of the football. Oh, and by the way, Tate committed a blatant push off on Green Bay safety Sam Shields before getting to the ball.

The "tie-goes-to-the-runner"/Simultaneous Catch rule should not apply here. When a player has 90% minimum possession of the ball, how exactly does it constitute a tie?

Even after instant replay, the officials call it a touchdown. What a disgrace.

The issue here is obvious. By allowing the referee lockout to persist to the point where a nationally televised game is decided by arguably the worst call in NFL history, Commissioner Roger Goodell has compromised the integrity of his league.

How can any coach, player, fan, or media member take the replacement refs seriously after this disgrace? Can you imagine the uproar that would occur if this happened in a playoff game, or heaven forbid, the Super Bowl?

The NFL is truly "too big to fail," so it will survive this.

But will the NFL remain the NFL, or become WWE?

To many, it has now become the latter.

Commissioner Goodell, please, please, end this madness. Save the greatest sports league in the world. Please compromise with the real refs, or another team like the Packers will be robbed like Monday night. In a more impactful game.

Or even worse, your league will no longer be relevant.


Overreaction Plan the Parade Route Week 3 Super Bowl Pick: Minnesota vs Oakland

Top 5

1. Houston
2. Atlanta
3. Arizona
4. Baltimore
5. N.Y. Giants

Bottom 5

32. Cleveland
31. New Orleans
30. St. Louis
29. Miami
28. Carolina




Tuesday, September 18, 2012

What We Learned From Week 2

"Where have you gone, Ed Hochuli, our nation turns its lonely eyes to you..."

Just as I finish writing this, another flag was thrown by a replacement ref.

"Sneezing, number 100, Red.....ummm I mean blue...ummm...20 yards...fifth down!"

As I write that, I think the Broncos-Falcons game just reached halftime.

And now, another flag was thrown because a ref was intimidaded enough by a whining wide reciever convincing him he was interfered with!

Well, you get the idea. The replacement refs suck. And this is only Week 2 of supposedly 5 that we are stuck with them. Get used to it, fans!

Next week, we will see a flag thrown for insulting a ref's mother. That will be COOL.

Anyway, here's what we learned after Week 2:

1. You can cancel those Super Bowl plans, Cowboys and Jets fans!
After their impressive Week 1 performances, you'd have thought both teams had won their respective conference title games. Especially the way their fanbases reacted. Ah, how things change so quickly. An absolutely brutal performance in Seattle by Romo and co., and a mediocre at best performance in Pittsburgh by Gang Green. And no, not even the lord and savior himself would have won it for your team, Jet fans!

2. Miracles do happen in Foxboro. AGAINST the Patriots.

In St. Louis, Billy Cundiff had to be smiling when Stephen Gostkowski shanked a 43-yarder, a chip shot for Gostkowski, with 1 second remaining. Well, at least until a couple of hours later. But I digress. Arizona handed this game to the Pats on a silver platter. Larry Fitzgerald only caught ONE pass for four yards. ONE. Ryan Williams fumbled on his own 30, giving the Pats amazing field position. And the Patriots spilled it away.

3. Houston is officially the team to beat in the AFC.

The 49ers get all the attention for becoming the instant Super Bowl favorite after back to back impressive wins against Green Bay and Detroit. But the Texans dominated two bad teams in Miami and Jacksonville. This is the hallmark of a great team. We'll see how they fare against stronger opponents. But for now, they look scary good.

4. The Tom Coughlin-Greg Schiano spat would never have happened 30-40 years ago.

We can spend all day and night arguing about who was right or wrong on this incident. But here's the truth: the reaction to Tampa Bay's aggressive play during the Giants' victory formation is a byproduct of today's NFL. The real reason Coughlin was so furious is because he is scared to see his franchise quarterback, Eli Manning, get hurt. NFL teams, or any pro sports team for that matter, invest millions in franchise players. This was not the case in the 50s and 60s. Back then, a play like this would have been considered tough, hard-nosed football. Today, it is considered bushleague and an attempt to injure an opponent. And it's all because franchises are paranoid of their high-priced stars suffering season-ending injuries. It's all about the benjamins, folks.

5. Maybe the Saints really do miss Sean Payton.

At 0-2, New Orleans is in a heap of trouble. Not only is their defense statistically the worst in the NFL, but there seems to be a lack of structure in terms of game planning and coaching. Interim coach Aaron Kromer will not be calling plays in four weeks. Drew Brees probably should be the head coach for the remainder of the season. Hey, if Peyton can do it, why can't he? Coach Sean Payton will not return this season due to his Bountygate suspension. If the Saints don't learn to adjust to life without him, kiss the playoffs goodbye. Right now, it's not looking like they can.

Weekly Overreaction Jump Out of Your Seat Premature Euphoria Super Bowl Pick:
Arizona vs Houston

Top 5
1. San Francisco
2. Houston
3. Atlanta
4. Green Bay
5. New England

Bottom 5
32. Cleveland
31. Jacksonville
30. Minnesota
29. Kansas City
28. Tennessee

Tuesday, September 11, 2012

What we learned from the Yankees' critical stretch and from Week 1 of the NFL Season

The Yankees just completed their most critical stretch of the season; ten games against the Orioles and Rays. They emerged one game up on the O's in the AL East race with 22 games to play. Here's what we've learned:

1. This race will be decided the final week of the season.

At this time, no one will be surprised if the Rays win the division, the Orioles win, or the Yankees win. Neither team really distinguished themselves in these last ten games, and the Yankees certainly did not impress. However, they showed resiliency when they needed to against Baltimore, and if not for getting hosed by Jerry Meals on Saturday night, may very well have a two game lead. It's going to be an exciting final three weeks. Stay tuned.

2. CC Sabathia MUST step up.

Since emerging from his second stint on the disabled list, CC Sabathia has not pitched like an ace. His team staked him out to leads in both Tampa and Baltimore, and he couldn't hold either of them, leading to Yankee losses. Now there are concerns about his health and velocity, as his fastball is down to 92-93 MPH. CC insists it isn't a big deal, but try reassuring the fans and the media. CC Sabathia needs to be the Yankee ACE, not #3 starter.

3. Phil Hughes is the key to the Yankees' success or failure.

You can take Hiroki Kuroda as a given in the Yankee rotation, and even CC despite his recent mediocrity. But whom else do you trust outside of those two? Andy Pettitte will come back soon, but will he be Andy Pettitte? Ivan Nova is back, but will he be the Nova of the first half or his awful second half? Forget Freddy Garcia, and David Phelps is not ready for the limelight. Therefore, Phil Hughes is the X factor. He leads the team with 14 wins, but has allowed the most home runs in baseball. He will need to pitch like the ace he was hyped to be down the stretch if the Yankees want to play in October. Is he capable? Absolutely. He just needs to keep the ball in the ballpark.

4. Some of the bats are starting to come around, especially A-Rod. But they need everyone to get going, not half the lineup.

You look up, Curtis Granderson strikes out. Nick Swisher just struck out again. Andruw Jones just struck out for the millionth time this season. Robbie Cano just rolled over on a ground ball. The team just stranded another runner in scoring position. But some bats showed signs of life the last few games. A-Rod has looked good since coming back from his broken hand. Russell Martin, yes, Martin has produced some big hits recently. Even Granderson looks like he is coming around. But it will take the effort of all nine guys in the lineup every day, not just two or three. Can anyone remember a season in which every single Yankee bat struggled for a long period of time? Overall, in the month of September, the Yankees' team batting average is below .150.

5. They will miss Mark Teixeira's bat, but they cannot afford another injury.

The Yankees can still make the playoffs despite the loss of their first baseman again due to a calf injury. However, with their luck with injuries this year, it's possible that another key member of the Yankees lineup falls victim to the injury bug. If that happens, forget October baseball. With enough hitters struggling as it is, losing a top power hitter puts more pressure on the remainder of the lineup. Right now, it seems as if A-Rod, Cano, Jeter, and Swisher MUST hit .400 for this team to have a chance. Given the state of the pitching, it may be absolutely necessary. We'll see.

The Yankees are in their first real pennant race since 2005. Enjoy the last three weeks.


And now, the five things we learned from Week 1 of the NFL Season:

1. The 49ers may be the new team to beat in the NFC.

The Niners went into Lambeau Field and proved that last year was no fluke. Alex Smith and the offense looked more like his counterpart, Aaron Rodgers and his offense. They exposed every flaw in the Packers secondary, the same flaws that cost them a Super Bowl last season. San Francisco has the best defense in the NFL, and if they can beat the elite teams in the league on the road like that, we may see them in New Orleans in February.

2. RGIII is for real.

In my NFL preview post last week, I all but guaranteed Andrew Luck would lead the Colts to the playoffs and be the best rookie quarterback maybe ever. Well, Luck looked like a rookie in Chicago Sunday, and the man picked after him, Robert Griffin III, marched his Redskins into the Superdome and took it to Drew Brees and the bountygate-stung Saints. He looked like the future superstar quarterback, posting 320 yards passing with two TD passes. More importantly, he was efficient and poised. It seems the Redskins have finally found their franchise QB.

3. Peyton is still Peyton.

Watching Peyton Manning shred apart the vaunted Pittsburgh Steelers defense Sunday night, you would never have known he missed last season with four neck surgeries. At 35, he is still one of the top four QBs in the league, and he emerged from this game healthy. Manning threw for 253 yards and two TDs, and did not turn the ball over. The Broncos better hope he stays that way, though.

4. Mark Sanchez is a man on a mission.

Once again, I've been had. I said last week that the Jets only scoring one TD in the preseason was a big deal. Point taken, crow eaten. Mark Sanchez may have had his best game as pro Sunday, considering the divine backup is breathing down his neck. Along with the media, fans, and even God himself. Sanchez played angry Sunday against Buffalo, and I mean angry. 266, 3 TDs, only one INT. But more importantly, the fickle fans were cheering go him and not chanting Tebow's name. It's only one game, but if Sanchez keeps this up, the Jets may be better than we all think.

5. The second most important position after quarterback in the NFL is the long snapper.

Just ask the Oakland Raiders. Have you ever heard of a game being blown by a backup long snapper? You have now. Travis Goethal is the goat of week one, botching three punts filling in for injured long snapper Jon Condo. To be fair, one snap was good, but a blocked punt resulted as punter Shane Lechler pinched in a few yards closer. The moral of the story is, have your backup long snappers practice long snaps!


The weekly overreaction Super Bowl pick: Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets. If you follow social media, fans of both teams are already planning the parade routes after one impressive win on opening week.

Top 5
1. New England
2. San Francisco
3. Baltimore
4. Houston
5. Green Bay

Bottom 5
28. Minnesota
29. Miami
30. St. Louis
31. Jacksonville
32. Cleveland

Tuesday, September 4, 2012

2012 NFL Preview

We interrupt ESPN's coverage of their new deity, the most famous backup in the history of sports, mr. Timothy Tebow, to remind you that there will be football games played this fall!

Even their previous deity, Michael Jordan, will be watching FOOTBALL, and not TEBOW. But I digress.

The following are my previews and predictions for the 2012 NFL Season!

AFC East

1. New England Patriots

Expect anything different with Brady and Belichick running the show? Some football "experts" predict another undefeated season. I won't go that far, but with a new weapon for Brady in Brandon Lloyd, and another year of Gronk, Hernandez, and Welker patrolling the passing lanes, it is possible the Pats can be better than last year. Plus, after another heartbreaking Super Bowl loss to the Giants, you know Brady and Belichick are licking their chops. If their defense is improved, this team will be scary, if that's even possible.

2. Buffalo Bills

Buffalo made the splash of the offseason by signing the best free agent available, pass rush extraordinare Mario Williams. But will it translate to their first playoff berth since 1999? He certainly makes them better, but Ryan Fitzpatrick will have to recapture his first half magic from last season and translate it to a full season. I say an 8-8 season, but they fall just short.

3. New York Jets

Ok, Tebow worshippers, here's your dose of truth. There is too much drama with his presence in this organization for not only Mark Sanchez to succeed, but for the rest of the team as well. GM Mike Tannenbaum did NOTHING to address the team's shortcomings. Trading Wayne Hunter to improve the O-Line was too little, too late. They also lack a playmaking reciever and a legit #1 running back. Even Tebowmania can't save them, regardless of whether he starts Week 2 or Week 10. Buckle up for a long season, Jet fans. Oh, and one touchdown in the entire preseason IS a cause for concern.

4. Miami Dolphins

The post-Sparano era begins with yet another potential Dan Marino "replacement", Ryan Tannehill, under center. It is also the first year under new head coach Joe Philbin. But what else do they have to succeed? Don't tell me David Garrard or Matt Moore can save them if Tannehill fails. Long rebuilding year in South Beach.

AFC North

1. Pittsburgh Steelers

Many question marks smother over the black and gold this season. How will they respond to the loss of major veteran leaders such as Hines Ward and James Farrior? Can Rashard Mendenhall and Issac Redman stay healthy? Can their defense be great again? How will new offensive coordinator Todd Haley affect their offense? And of course, the biggest one, can Big Ben Roethlisberger stay healthy? If he isn't, the Steelers have no chance. If he is on his game, however, and his rotator cuff doesn't affect his throwing ability, expect another 10-12 win season.

2. Baltimore Ravens *(wildcard)

Sorry, Raven fans, but I have to give the Steelers a slight edge here because Terrell Suggs may miss half the season. Plus Ray Lewis and Ed Reed are becoming ancient, and their title window may have shut completely with last year's heartbreaking AFC title game loss. If the Ravens are to take the next step, however, Joe Flacco must join the elite ranks of quarterbacks. If he doesn't, do not expect another Super Bowl win in the Lewis/Reed era.

3. Cincinnati Bengals

Will Andy Dalton suffer a sophomore slump after last year's unexpected sensational rookie campaign? Will the loss of Cedric Benson in the running game hurt? The two elite teams in this division are too good for Cincinnati to take the next step forward. I expect a 7-9 or 8-8 year.

4. Cleveland Browns

No one mistook Colt McCoy as the second coming of Otto Graham or Bernie Kosar. But did they give up on him too soon? Is Brandon Weeden, at 28, really the answer? Regardless, Cleveland probably boasts the worst offense in football. Only if Trent Richardson is the real deal can this team take a step forward.

AFC South

1. Houston Texans

I will say this once. Matt Schaub, Arian Foster, and Andre Johnson MUST stay healthy. If they do, they may be the best team in the AFC not named the Patriots. Losing Mario Williams will hurt, but the defense is still talented enough to carry the load. Their time is here, and health permitting, they are ready for great things.

2. Indianapolis Colts *(wildcard)

My sleeper pick of 2012. It's easy to forget the talent this team has besides Peyton Manning. Reggie Wayne, Robert Mathis, and Dwight Freeney remain in the fold. Andrew Luck looked NFL ready in preseason. And of course, he will take his lumps along the way, but how often do we see rookie quarterbacks take their teams to the playoffs? It's Luck's turn.

3. Tennessee Titans

The Jake Locker era begins in Nashville. If Kenny Britt and Chris Johnson are healthy, they will make the transition from Matt Hasselbeck to Locker a smoother one. This is a team that surprised folks last year, but won't sneak up on anyone this time.

4. Jacksonville Jaguars

May be the worst team in the NFL. So what if Mo-Jo Drew ended his holdout? Blaine Gabbert still leads this team under center. And he showed no signs of being a legit NFL QB last year. Maybe they should play ALL their home games in London. Would the city of Jacksonville notice?

AFC West

1. Denver Broncos

Peyton Manning at 70% is still better than half the starting quarterbacks in the NFL. As long as he is healthy, pencil in any team he leads for 10 or more wins. Plus, he has one of the best defenses in the NFL behind him. Sorry, ESPN, but Tebowmania will be long forgotten in the Mile High City very soon.

2. San Diego Chargers

I'm going to say it. Their championship window closed. Is it too late for Philip Rivers, the best quarterback to not win a Super Bowl, to win a Super Bowl? How much longer can Charger fans tolerate Norv Turner? Without a healthy Ryan Mathews, it may not matter. Another disappointing season is on the horizon.

3. Oakland Raiders

They will have a full season under Carson Palmer, and a new organizational philosophy and structure is in place in the post Al Davis era. I expect another 8-8 season, but to fall just short of the playoffs again.

4. Kansas City Chiefs

I, for one, believe Matt Cassel is overrated. But this year, he will have several weapons at his disposal. Dwayne Bowe ended his holdout, Peyton Hillis will compliment Jammal Charles, but of course, they have to stay healthy. If Cassel can use these weapons properly, they will be successful.

NFC East

1. New York Giants

Other than Brandon Jacobs and Mario Manningham, the champs' roster pretty much remains intact. The biggest question for this team is, can they stay consistent all year long, or will it take another miracle run to win a Super Bowl? Jason Pierre Paul and Victor Cruz won't take anyone by surprise this year, but they will be better. Rookie running back David Wilson looked electric in preseason. Can him and Ahmad Bradshaw form a lethal 1-2 punch? Expect them to be better than last year.

2. Philadelphia Eagles (*wildcard)

This team was the biggest disappointment in the NFL by far last season. The key, of course, is keeping Michael Vick healthy. And his O-line did a horrible job of protecting him this preseason. I expect a big bounce back year from Nnamdi Asomugha, and I predict LeSean McCoy will be the NFL's leading rusher. If Vick his healthy, expect a return to the playoffs.

3. Dallas Cowboys

Yes, the defense is much improved. But what else about this team suggests they are elite? Tony Romo will put up his big numbers but once again disappear in big spots. Can DeMarco Murray regain the magic he had for a few games as a rookie? Can Dez Bryant behave? All in all, another typical Cowboys season in Jerryland is on the horizon.

4. Washington Redskins

Well, they finally have a legit franchise quarterback for the first time since, well Mark Rypien I guess. What, did you think I'd say Gus Frerotte? But, like Andrew Luck in Indy, the success of the Skins rests on the right arm of Robert Griffin III. If he succeeds, so do the Skins. If he doesn't, it will be the same ol' Skins.

NFC North

1. Green Bay Packers

It's debatable whether or not Aaron Rodgers is now the best quarterback in the NFL. But one thing that is not debatable is that the Pack are once again the NFL's best team. If they show up in the playoffs last year, is there any doubt they repeat as champs? They will win 13-15 games, but they just need to bring their A game in crunch time. That's all.

2. Detroit Lions (*wildcard)

If the defense improves, and Ndamukong Suh can stay away from Roger Goodell's wrath, this team will improve by 1-2 wins. Again, the key is keeping Matthew Stafford healthy. And Megatron will only get better over the next few years. And that's scary.

3. Chicago Bears

Is  Jay Cutler happy now that he is reunited with his favorite Denver target, Brandon Marshall? If Matt Forte stays healthy and Brian Urlacher continues to compete at an elite level, they will be a playoff contender. Again, the key is keeping Cutler happy.

4. Minnesota Vikings

If Adrian Peterson does not come back healthy, this will be a really long season in Minny. Christian Ponder showed some promise last year. Can he improve? Either way, it's another rebuilding year.

NFC South

1. New Orleans Saints

I, for one, do not believe all the suspensions and bountygate drama will deter NOLA from making another Super Bowl run. Why? Drew Brees still quarterbacks them. And they have a lethal backfield with Darren Sproles, Mark Ingram, and Pierre Thomas. If the defense plays at a high level, we may see a home game in February for this team.

2. Carolina Panthers

They will be the most improved team in the NFC this year. They have a solid running game, and the presence of Cam Newton rejuvenated Steve Smith. If Newton puts up big numbers again, they will contend for a playoff spot.

3. Atlanta Falcons

The window is closing on the Matty Ice era. After another playoff disappointment, the pressure is on. The problem is, in a division with the Saints and the resurgent Panthers, it will be difficult to even get there. This is a make-or-break year for this franchise.

4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

There is a new sheriff in town, and he means business. Will Greg Schiano's disciplinary style translate to the NFL, especially with the least accountable team in the league? Can Josh Freeman lead this team to the next level?

NFC West

1. San Francisco 49ers

This team came one play away from making the Super Bowl last year. They have the best defense in the NFL, and Alex Smith has new weapons in Randy Moss and Mario Manningham at his disposal. Can he take them to the promised land? Jim Harbaugh definetely believes so, and the organization does, too.

2. Arizona Cardinals

John Skelton gets the starting quarterback job over Kevin Kolb. Does it really matter. Either will waste Larry Fitzgerald's talent. However, in this uber-mediocre division, anything can happen.

3. Seattle Seahawks

Russell Wilson over Matt Flynn? Interesting. What was Flynn signed for, then? Well, at least T.O. won't be around to distract them.

4. St. Louis Rams

Sam Bradford can't stay healthy. Steven Jackson's window as an elite runner is closing. Yes, Jeff Fisher is a much better coach than Steve Spagnolo, but this team is still a couple years away.



Playoff Predictions

First Round

Denver 27, Indianapolis 14
Pittsburgh 17, Baltimore 14
New Orleans 33, Philadelphia 24
Detroit 27, San Francisco 24

Divisional Round

Green Bay 30, Detroit 27
New Orleans 27, NY Giants 23
New England 28, Pittsburgh 13
Houston 27, Denver 17

Conference Championships

Houston 24, New England 20
Green Bay 35, New Orleans 28

Super Bowl XLVII

Green Bay 31, Houston 20